Trump Temporarily Suspends Tariffs for 90 Days, Excluding China
The business community has been abuzz with the news of President Trump's decision to suspend tariffs on all countries except China for 90 days. The sudden reversal of the administration's stance on tariffs has been seen as a welcome move by many, with stocks surging and oil prices rebounding in response. Analysts believe that the move is a strategic attempt by the Trump administration to divide and conquer, by separating China from other trade partners.

10 April 2025
By suspending tariffs on countries that have not retaliated against the US, the administration is attempting to isolate China and put pressure on them to negotiate. The decision has been seen as a relief for many businesses, particularly those in the manufacturing sector, which have been struggling with the increased costs of tariffs. The suspension of tariffs is expected to provide a temporary reprieve for these businesses, allowing them to breathe a sigh of relief and reassess their strategies.
However, not everyone is optimistic about the move. Some analysts believe that the decision is a sign of weakness on the part of the Trump administration, and that it may embolden China to take a harder stance in trade negotiations. Others have pointed out that the move may not be enough to offset the damage already done to the global economy by the trade war. Despite these concerns, the business community is cautiously optimistic about the move, and is waiting to see how the situation unfolds.
The suspension of tariffs has provided a much-needed boost to the stock market, with the Dow Jones index surging 7.87% and the Nasdaq index rising 12.16%. Oil prices have also rebounded, with Brent crude oil rising 0.97% to $63.43 a barrel. Trump's decision to suspend tariffs for 90 days comes after intense negotiations with multiple countries on the issue, with over 75 nations having contacted the US to discuss the matter. The situation had begun to spiral out of control, prompting Trump to take temporary measures to avoid further conflict.
The suspension is seen as a tactical move to ease tensions with multiple countries, while allowing the US to reassess its trade strategy and potentially regroup for future negotiations. However, Trump's simultaneous announcement that the US will continue to impose tariffs on Chinese goods, and even increase the tax rate from 10% to 12.5%, suggests that his administration remains committed to its "reciprocal tariffs" policy, at least when it comes to China. This selective approach to trade has raised questions about the motivations behind Trump's decision and what the future holds for US trade policy after the 90-day suspension period ends.

The decision has had a significant impact on the US stock market, with the standard S&P 500 index recording a 9.52% rise, and the Nasdaq index surging 12.16%, marking the largest single-day gains in several years. However, for China, the impact has been vastly different, with the Trump administration's continued imposition of tariffs and increased tax rates on Chinese goods leading to further tensions in US-China trade relations. The US Treasury Secretary has explicitly stated that China is the most unbalanced economy in modern history and poses a significant challenge to the US, highlighting the deep-seated concerns about China's economic policies.
The US Treasury Secretary also noted that the high tariffs imposed on China have led to a surge in cheap Chinese products in European markets, disrupting the global trade system. This suggests that the US-China trade war may have far-reaching implications for the global economy, particularly for countries and businesses that rely heavily on international trade. The future prospects of Trump's 90-day tariff reprieve remain uncertain, leaving many to question the administration's ability to effectively handle trade policy.

The business community will undoubtedly continue to closely monitor the developments in this saga, as the temporary suspension of tariffs on certain countries, excluding China, takes effect. It is unclear whether the Trump administration will revisit the "tariff big stick" approach after the 90-day period. The recent move to impose a 125% tariff on Chinese imports has sparked concerns about the escalating trade tensions between the US and China. Beijing's response, which involves automatically retaliating with equal measures, has created a sense of unease among investors and trade experts. The imposition of such high tariffs has pushed the boundaries of conventional international trade practices, raising concerns about the potential consequences of this approach. As the trade landscape continues to evolve, one thing is certain: the business community will be watching closely to see how the Trump administration navigates these complex trade relationships.
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