China Cancels 12,000-Ton US Pork Order, Dealing Blow to US Export Market
China's cancellation of a 12,000-ton order of American pork has significant implications for the US pork industry. According to data from the US Department of Agriculture, China is one of the largest export markets for US pork, having imported 416,000 tons of pork from the US last year. The cancellation of this order, which represents a 72% decrease from the previous week, is the largest such cancellation since 2020. This sudden change is likely to have a substantial impact on US pork exports, as China is the third-largest market for US pork, after Mexico and Japan.

25 April 2025
The US Department of Agriculture's data also shows that China's reduced purchases have led to a decline in total US pork sales, with weekly sales dropping to 5,800 tons, the lowest reported so far this year. Furthermore, China has also significantly reduced its soybean purchases from the US, with only 1,800 tons bought recently, a sharp decline from the 73,000 tons purchased in the week ending April 10. This trend may result in a decrease in US pork prices, as the market anticipates a decline in US pork's market share in China. Bloomberg predicts that the tariffs imposed by China will lead to an increase in pork imports from countries like Brazil, further eroding the US market share.
US pork producers are concerned about the tariffs, as they rely on stable and predictable markets. Aaron Juergens, president of the Iowa Pork Producers Association, expressed disappointment with the tariffs, noting that Iowa pig farmers rely on certainty and stability in their markets. Juergens emphasized that over 25% of US pork production is exported to high-value markets worldwide, with Iowa supplying one-third of the country's pork. The association has urged the US Department of Agriculture and the Trump administration to support US pork exports by negotiating and canceling all tariffs and non-tariff trade barriers.
The cancellation of the US pork order is part of a larger trend, with China's pork imports decreasing over the past few years. However, the sheer volume of pork and pork by-products imported by China underscores the critical role that foreign suppliers, including the US, play in meeting China's meat demands. The impact of this decision on US pork giants, such as Smithfield, could be substantial, as the company has been a significant beneficiary of China's pork import market. The loss of the Chinese market could lead to inventory backlogs, reduced production levels, and ultimately, economic impacts on companies and communities dependent on the pork industry.

The US-China trade war, initiated by the US, has already started to affect US pork exports. The trade dispute has led to reciprocal tariffs, affecting agricultural trade between the two countries. US agricultural exporters are concerned about the event, believing it will have a significant impact on the US agricultural industry. The cancellation of the 12,000-ton US pork order reflects the impact of the trade war, with US farmers uncertain about the future. Kevin Stuckey, a pig farmer from Ohio, noted that while pork producers are accustomed to cyclical changes in the market, the trade war has introduced new uncertainties. Altin Kalo, chief economist at Steiner Consulting Group, believes that the biggest impact of the pork tariffs so far is the potential damage to the US economy in the future.
As the global pork market continues to evolve, with trade policies and health concerns playing critical roles, the US pork industry will be closely watching developments in China, hoping for a resolution that restores access to this vital market. Meanwhile, Chinese consumers and businesses are adapting to the new dynamics, with some switching to alternative sources, such as Australian beef, as seen in the case of a Beijing-based steakhouse that has announced plans to replace US beef with Australian beef due to supply chain disruptions. The global pig meat market is also expected to feel the ripple effects of this decision, with fluctuations in global pork prices and potential shifts in sourcing patterns. With China exploring new trade relationships and diversifying its meat imports, the US pork industry faces an increasingly uncertain future, and the US government is under pressure to negotiate and cancel tariffs to support US agricultural exports.

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